Selected Publications

Below is a list of the publications produced by members of the group, beginning with the most recent

Hansson, P., Juslin, P., & Winman, A. (in press). The role of short-term memory capacity and task experience for overconfidence in judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition.

Hansson, P., Rönnlund, M., Juslin. P., & Nilsson, L-G. (in press). Adult age differences in the realism of confidence judgments: Overconfidence, format dependence and cognitive predictors. Psychology & Aging.

Nilsson, H., Juslin, P., Olsson, H. (in press). Exemplars in the mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology

Juslin, P., Karlsson, L., & Olsson, H. (2008). Information integration in multiple-cue judgment: A division-of-labor hypothesis. Cognition, 106, 258-298.

Elwin, E., Juslin, P., Olsson, H. & Enkvist, T. (2007). Constructivist coding: Learning from selective feedback. Psychological Science, 18, 105-110.

Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Hansson, P. (2007). The naïve intuitive statistician: A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals. Psychological Review, 114, 678-703.

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2007). Shifts between cue abstraction and exemplar memory in a multiple cue judgment task with continuous cues. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 14, 1140-1146.

Enkvist, T., Newell, B., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2006). On the role of causal intervention in multiple-cue judgment: Positive and negative effects on learning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 32, 163–179.

Fiedler, K., & Juslin, P. (Eds.) (2006). Information sampling and adaptive cognition. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Olsson. A-C., Enkvist, T., & Juslin, P. (2006). Go with the flow! How to master a nonlinear judgment task. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memory and Cognition, 32, 1371-1384.

Olsson, A-C., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2006). Individuals and dyads in a multiple-cue judgment task:Cognitive processes and performance. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 42, 40-56.

Winman, A., & Gredebäck, G. (2006). Inferring causality assessments from predictive responses: Cue interaction without cue competition. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 29, 28-37.

Juslin, P. (2005). Bedömningar och beslutsfattande: Jakten på Homo Economicus. I A-C. Smedler, & I. Lundberg, J. Rönnberg, & P. Hwang (Red.) Vår tids Psykologi (s. 533-548). Stockholm: Natur & Kultur.

Juslin, P., & Nyberg, L. (2005). Kognitionspsykologi. I A-C. Smedler, & I. Lundberg, J. Rönnberg, & P. Hwang (Red.) Vår tids Psykologi (s. 133-168). Stockholm: Natur & Kultur.

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2005a). Capacity limitations and the detection of correlations: Comment on Kareev (2000). Psychological Review, 112, 256-267.

Nilsson, H., Olsson, H., & Juslin, P. (2005). The cognitive substrate of subjective probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 31, 600-620.

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2004). Note on the rationality of rule-based versus exemplar-based processing in human judgment. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 45, 37-47.

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2004) Representational shifts in a multiple-cue judgment task with continuous cues. In K. Forbus, D. Gentner & T. Regier (Eds.).Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Chicago,III

Winman, A., Hansson, P., & Juslin, P. (2004). Subjective probability intervals: How to cure overconfidence by interval evaluation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memory and Cognition, 30, 1167-1175.

Winman, A. (2004). Do perfume additives termed human pheromones warrant being termed pheromones? Physiology & Behavior, 82, 697-701.

Hansson, P., Juslin, P., & Winman, A. (2003). Naive sampling and format dependence in subjective probability calibration. In R. Alterman & D. Kirsh (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Boston, MA.

Juslin, P (2003). Etc. Frequency processing and cognition. Acta Psychologica, 113, 119-121.

Juslin, P., Jones, S., Olsson, H., & Winman, A. (2003). Cue abstraction and exemplar memory in categorization. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 29, 924-941.

Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Olsson, A-C. (2003). Exemplar effects in multiple-cue judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 132, 133-156.

Karlsson, L. & Juslin, P. (2003) Judgment processes: Ecology-fostered representations, input samples and human limitations. In C. Harris (Ed.) The Brunswik Society Newsletter. www.brunswik.org.

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2003) The additive judge: On the abstraction of explicit knowledge of cue-criterion relations. In R. Alterman & D. Kirsh (Eds.) Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society., Boston, MA.

Nilsson, H., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2003). From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task. In J. Moore & K. Stenning (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society ,Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

Winman, A., Wennerholm, P., & Juslin, P. (2003). Can attentional theory explain the inverse base rate effect? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 29, 1390-1395.

Juslin, P., & Persson, M. (2002). PROBabilities from EXemplars (PROBEX): A “lazy” algorithm for probabilistic inference from generic knowledge. Cognitive Science, 26, 563-607.

Lundberg, I., Molander, B, & Juslin, P. (2002). Eulogy: Mats Bjorkman (1926-2001). Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 43, 197-199.

Juslin, P. (2001). Rational models of cognition. American Journal of Psychology, 114, 648-653.

Juslin, P., Nilsson, H., & Olsson, H. (2001). Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity-graded probability. In J. Moore & K. Stenning (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Third Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.

Juslin, P., Wennerholm, P., Winman, A. (2001). High-level reasoning and base-rate use: Do we need cue-competition to explain the inverse base-rate effect? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 27, 849–871.

Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Olsson, H. (2003). Calibration, additivity, and source independence of probability judgments in general knowledge and sensory discrimination tasks. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 92, 34-51.

Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Olsson, H. (2000). Naive empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard-easy effect. Psychological Review, 107, 384-396.

Runeson, S., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2000). Visual perception of dynamic properties: Cue heuristics versus direct-perceptual competence. Psychological Review, 107, 525-555.

Juslin, P., Wennerholm, P., & Olsson, H. (1999). Format dependence in subjective probability calibration. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 25, 1038-1052.

Winman, A., Juslin, P., & Björkman, M. (1998). The confidence-hindsight mirror effect in judgment: An accuracy-assessment model for the knew-it-all-along effect. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 24, 415-431.

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (1997). Thurstonian and Brunswikian origins of uncertainty in judgment: A sampling model of confidence in sensory discrimination. Psychological Review, 104, 344-366.

Juslin, P., Olsson, N., & Winman, A. (1996). Calibration and diagnosticity of confidence in eyewitness identification: Comments on what can be inferred from the low confidence-accuracy correlation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 22, 1304–1316.

Juslin, P. (1994). The overconfidence phenomenon as a consequence of informal experimenter - guided selection of almanac items. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 57, 226-246.